I've decided I'm officially going back to full calorie counting on Monday, giving myself another few days because I'm not feeling great. And that's also when I'm going to resume the CPAP, which is part of it.

So as of today I'm 268 pounds, which is a staggering 40 pounds. My best effort ever was 45 pounds, which is right around the corner, at a mere 263. So my first mini-goal is to have that in 2 weeks, and since I'm ramping back up this weekend, we'll call that 3 weeks from yesterday, which also happens to be the last day of September.

That leaves 3 months in the year, or 13 more weeks. My previous rate of loss has been actually really high, averaging out to almost 3 pounds per week over the last 14 weeks. That's unsustainably high, especially as my weight goes down, so I don't think I'm going to lose another 40 pounds over the next 16, as awesome as that would be. If I did, that'd put me at 228 pounds at the end of the year.

228 pounds is pretty close to where I was when I fell off the low carb diet, and when I met Lynette. It's also roughly the weight I was when I moved to California, nearly 20 years ago, and just as importantly, it's out of the 'obese' category on the official BMI chart and into merely 'overweight'. At that weight, I wore a size 32 jeans, and my T-Shirt size was XL. (For the record, my goal weight of 180 is chosen as being the very high end of 'normal' weight on the BMI chart. I think when I was 180 I fit into an L T-Shirt, but I don't honestly remember, as I was 19 at the time and that's been quite some time.)

Since I don't think 40 pounds is reasonable, if we drop that to averaging 2 pounds a week of loss for the next 16 weeks, that's 32 pounds -- which would be 235, for a total loss of 72 pounds. That's pretty darn good. I still think that'll be a hard goal, but I think it's doable.

Continuing on from there, assuming my weight loss drops to 1.5 pounds per week when I get closer to my goal weight, that's still 55 pounds to go. That's another 36 weeks, or another 8 months. I hate to think about that being the norm, but the closer I get to my goal weight, the less caloric benefit I get from exercise, and the less I'll have to eat. And there's a certain point where it'll be difficult to continue eating under calories. There may be a point where I'll have to settle for a weight short of my goal weight. If it's 200 and I'm comfortable with myself, I'd be fine with that, but I'm not going to make any real decisions until I get there. Until then, I'm keeping 180 as my goal and will remain flexible if things go badly.

Still, that's a long ways away. The end-of-year goal is within sight, and within reason. The next few weeks will probably be difficult as I have to ramp everything back up -- particularly the exercise -- all over again. But I'm still dedicated. The good results I have seen have me looking forward optimistically. I'm at the point where historically, I've fallen off diets. But this time I won't. I can do this. I will do this. I promised myself I would see this through at least until the end of the year, no matter what.

And then? Well, it's a marathon. It'd be good if I can finish it. But I'll worry about that when I get to the next major milestone.

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February 2019

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